If there was a general election this week, the most likely outcome would be another general election.
But there is no general happening next week, or next month. In truth… barring some major political catastrophe… there is no chance of an election this side of the 2024 Local and European elections, but the shape and context of that next election will be framed once the summer recess is over.
As the government could continue into 2025 as the polling could be held as late as the start of March 2025 it could decide to deliver another Budget next year. It is possible, but also unlikely as the feel-good impact of that Budget (assuming there were any) would not be felt in voters’ pockets until later in 2025. Continue reading “Is Sinn Féin flatlining from its “known knowns”?”→
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