Over the past few days, I’ve seen several political pundits offering their Irish election forecasts – offering a range of possible seat totals.
God bless their courage.
Until the campaign gets underway, I think it is wiser to avoid seat predictions, especially ones informed by polling. My main reason for this is that I think that the outcome of election will be heavily influenced by the campaign itself.
Campaigns matter… and this time around I believe the truth of this sound political adage will be very evident.
This is part due to the fact that this is will be a winter election. Though voters do like to be canvassed and the old motto that a vote worth getting is worth asking for still holds true voters might not be as inclined to engage with canvassers at their doors, especially during a cold Thursday evening. Continue reading “My thoughts… with about one week until the start of #GE2024 campaign”→
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